Friday, February 24, 2006

Informative Articles in the Washington Post

A bevy of informative articles at washingtonpost.com recently. The first illustrates the importance of Title Insurance, especially when buying an older home. In a nutshell, in exchange for a one time premium payable at closing, the insuror will defend your title for you if anyone ever challenges its validity for as long as you own your home.

In the second, Benny L. Kass explains the ins and outs of an interest only loan, a subject I've touched on before. Mr. Kass helpfully points out for whom these loans can be a good idea and for whom they are not.

Finally, an article explaining why American families' wealth has remained stagnant on average despite soaring home values. Apparently "lackluster wage growth, sagging stock prices and rising debt levels" offset the substantial gains in home values Americans saw between 2001-2004.

Enjoy.

Thursday, February 23, 2006

Rents to Increase in 2006

An article on MSN.com indicating that rents are set to increase in 2006. The increases seen in 2005 will continue this year, mostly due to a constrained supply of rentable units. Because of the condo conversion craze which saw many apartment buildings transformed into condos, the number of rental units available in many markets has been significantly reduced. Demand for these limited number of units is still high, pushing rents up. While job growth in many markets is an additional factor in increasing rent, in some markets where the job outlook is poor such as Pittsburgh, Raleigh, and Cincinnati, rents are actually expected to remain steady or fall.

How expensive is the rental market in your area? Check out this table, also on MSN.com, to find out. Areas of Florida are leading the way in rent increases while, as expected, New York is far and away the leader in current rent rates.

Numbers for cities in this area taken from the MSN.com table:

City

Avg. Monthly Rent

Rank

Rent Growth

Rank

Washington, DC

$1,160

9

5.2%

14

Baltimore

$1,041

13

5.0%

16

Philadelphia

$990

16

3.0%

25

Norfolk

$809

22

5.6%

10

Richmond

$761

29

2.5%

28


Interestingly, Richmond is as expensive a place to rent as Atlanta and Denver and Norfolk is more expensive than those cities. In addition, Baltimore is more expensive than Chicago and Philadelphia. Draw your own conclusions because I have none.

Wednesday, February 22, 2006

Positive News

Apparently, the sky is not falling. Inman news reports real estate purchases picked up last week. From the article:
Overall mortgage applications inched up 0.8 percent last week on a seasonally adjusted basis from the week before, ending a three-week slide, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's latest survey.
Remember, these are seasonally adjusted numbers, which means they take into account the natural increase in sales that we see each year as we move out of winter towards spring.

Monday, February 20, 2006

Fix Up Flipping

For the investors out there, an article from the Richmond Times Dispatch about fixing up abandoned houses in down-and-out neighborhoods poised for a comeback.

There has been a lot of news about "flipping" and flippers getting into trouble now that the market is stablizing. Briefly, a lot of people saw home prices appreciating like crazy so they bought a property at current market prices, sat on it for a while waiting for it to appreciate, and then sold it for a profit. These are flippers*. This worked out well for people who entered the market early on in the boom. But people still trying to profit by this practice in November and December were in for a rude awakening and many have had to sell their property at a loss. Hence, flippers in trouble.

I'm not a big fan of the this type of flipping because at the end of the day, you haven't really applied any skill or knowledge to the project. You're really just throwing money around, and since I have no money, this may be the reason for my distaste for the practice. I can't outright denounce the "strategy", however, because it's not exactly money for nothing. The profit is a result of the investor's willingness to assume the risk that there will be a downturn in the market and he will be left holding the bag. Whether, in fact, the investor is knowingly assuming the risk is questionable. I suspect many of these kinds of flippers are sheep following a recent market trend and anecdotal evidence of profit through flipping ('my brother's friend made $50K in 2 months, why can't I?'). I smile sadistically everytime I see a listing on ZipRealty for a never-lived-in property that was bought within the last few months and has been on the market ever since with price markdown after markdown.

Back to the original point of this post, while the "fix up flipper" is a type of flipping, it is not necessarily subject to the same problems as the buy, wait, sell flipper. This is because you can usually get the property at a bargain basement price because of its condition, as opposed to buying at market price and hoping for appreciation. And if you are good enough to be able to predict which neighborhoods are poised for a rebound, you are even better off with a fix up flipper because such a neighborhood can sometimes buck the trend even when the overall market is doing poorly.

What's involved in fix up flipping? The hardest part is finding a target property in a promising neighborhood. Not easy. If anyone has any tips, send me an email! If the house is abandoned, you may have to track down the owner and make him an offer. Once you acquire the property, you must determine what work the property needs. Check it out yourself and hire the appropriate inspectors as well. Most of these types of properties are going to need significant work, not just new carpet and a paint job. You'll have to hire contractors for each problem you find with the house: plumbers, electricians, roofers, etc. Alternatively, if you are inexperienced or don't want the hassle, you can hire a general contractor, discuss your plans for the house with him, and let him find the sub contractors to do the work. If you enjoy this type of work, as I do, fix up flipping can be profitable and fun!

I should mention that the folks in the linked article are not actually flippers. They bought the place to fix up and live in which is noble and a great way to contribute to your new neighborhood, even before you've moved in.

* The term flipper can refer both to a property that is flipped ('I found a great flipper downtown') and to the person doing the flipping ('He's not going to live in it, he's just a flipper').

Monday, February 13, 2006

Federal Agency Property Auction Site

Article in washingtonpost.com about the HUD's new real estate website that combines property disposition program inventories of 10 Federal agencies. The site is basically a way for the government to get rid of property that it has seized or otherwise acquired.

Thursday, February 02, 2006

Are More Rate Hikes Still to Come and What's It To Us?

Jeff Brown from the Philadelphia Inquirer believes the latest rate hike from the Fed and the accompanying hint that future rate hikes may be necessary are a signal that we should grab fixed rate loans while the rates are good. Jeff's article does a good job of breaking down the consequences of more hikes to come and what they mean for borrowers. From the article:

Meanwhile, Tuesday's rate hike, and the continuing prospect for more, provide a clear game plan for homeowners and mortgage shoppers: It's time to consider refinancing your adjustable-rate mortgages, or, if you're buying a home, to shun these deals. Fixed-rate loans are the better bet.

As Mr. Brown indicates, however, there are those who are optimistic, based on the Fed's comments, that the rate hike period is ending. Basically, the Fed's comments were vague and it is not certain whether we will see many more hikes in the near future. Useless, I know.